AI shopping agents are splitting the retailer-shopper bond into pieces: trust, control, payment, and influence — who keeps which?
What happens to traditional retailer-shopper relationships as third-party agents grow?
This explores what happens to the direct bond between stores and their customers when outside AI agents like ChatGPT or Perplexity start doing the browsing, comparing and buying for shoppers.
This explores what happens to the direct bond between stores and their customers when outside AI agents start shopping on people's behalf. The corpus does not predict that retailers simply disappear. It describes the relationship being pulled apart into separate layers: who the shopper trusts, who controls the agent, who settles the transaction, and who gets to influence what the shopper wants in the first place. Retailers may keep some of these layers and lose others.
Start with trust, where retailers still hold an edge. Bain separates three kinds of agents: third-party agents, on-site retailer agents like Amazon's Rufus, and off-site retailer agents. Shoppers trust retailer agents about three times more than third-party ones, and on-site agents have already produced measurable sales gains How are different AI agents reshaping the retail shopper journey?. Accenture's surveys also find that consumers say they prefer retailer-built agents, which leads to its framing that brands must 'become the agent of choice or be chosen by the agent' Will brands succeed by building their own AI shopping agents?. The problem with that preference is the question of whose side the agent is on. The Coasean Singularity paper argues that an agent serves whoever builds and maintains it. A retailer's agent will lean toward the seller by default, and only a consumer-owned agent can be set up around the buyer's interests Does agent ownership determine whose interests get optimized?. Third-party agents are not automatically neutral either. A former Visa data chief warns that agents funded by advertising have built-in reasons to favor paid placements Do advertising-funded shopping agents favor paid product placements?.
The travel industry offers the most surprising evidence. Many expected AI agents to cut out online travel agencies like Expedia, but the opposite happened. Independent hotels became more dependent on these agencies (63.4%). The agencies stayed the 'merchant of record', meaning the business that legally handles the sale, by plugging into AI agents through APIs, and Expedia's business-to-business segment grew 24% Are AI agents actually removing online travel agencies from bookings?. So a retailer can lose the customer-facing storefront and still keep the transaction. In that case it becomes infrastructure that the agent depends on. Whether that works depends partly on whether agentic commerce ends up open to many agents or closed around proprietary ones, a split Waller compares to open and closed payment networks Will agentic commerce platforms adopt open or closed models?.
The way retailers win customers also changes. If an agent picks products based on value rather than how prominently they appear on a page, then ad spending loses much of its pull. Jaipuria argues merchants will move that budget into lower prices and better terms offered directly to agents, and points to Google's Direct Offers pilot as an early example Could agents redirect merchant ad budgets toward customer savings?. Rustamli adds a limit: agents are good at meeting needs a shopper already has, but they don't create new wants. Influencer and social marketing may therefore survive while search ads shrink Do AI shopping agents destroy search ad revenue while leaving influencer marketing intact?. Bilgihan and colleagues go further and argue that agents that complete purchases end up shaping what shoppers want through repeated conversations. The relationship that forms a shopper's preferences could then be with the agent, not the store Do AI shopping agents reshape what consumers actually want?.
BCG's survey of 2,500 US consumers expects consumers and platform networks to capture most of the gains and merchants to face a structural disadvantage Who wins and loses as AI agents reshape shopping?. Choudary questions how deep the change goes. Agents that only represent the buyer change where shoppers enter the market, but they don't change how the market works. That deeper change only comes when sellers have their own agents and the two sides negotiate with each other Do one-sided consumer agents actually change market structure?. Seen this way, the old retailer–shopper relationship may be replaced by agent-to-agent bargaining, and a retailer's future relationship with customers may depend on how well its own agent negotiates.
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Bain identifies third-party agents (ChatGPT, Perplexity), on-site retailer agents (Amazon Rufus), and off-site retailer agents as reshaping retail differently. On-site agents drove $12B in incremental sales and 60% higher purchase likelihood, while shoppers trust retailer agents three times more than third-party ones.
Accenture reports 71% of consumers expect AI agents to influence half their spending within 12 months and prefer retailer-built agents. However, the evidence reflects consumer preferences in surveys rather than demonstrated agent capability or functioning comparison infrastructure at scale.
MIT research argues that platform-built agents inherit seller incentives by default, while consumer-owned agents can be configured around buyer preferences. The mechanism is principal-agent logic: whoever builds and maintains the agent sets its objective.
Bob Hedges, former Visa Chief Data Officer at MIT, warns that advertising business models create structural incentives for shopping agents to favor paid placements over neutral recommendations, independent of technical design quality.
Goswami's 2026 travel data shows independent hotels' OTA dependence rose to 63.4% even as AI agents emerged, with OTAs retaining merchant-of-record status through API integrations. Expedia's B2B segment grew 24% year-over-year, now 38% of revenue.
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Waller argues agentic commerce platforms will divide between open systems allowing multiple agents and closed systems requiring proprietary ones, mirroring payment network structure. This choice will shape market concentration, vertical integration, and standards adoption.
Jaipuria argues that once agents replace human shoppers, merchants have incentive to convert ad budgets into lower prices and better terms rather than sponsored listings, since agents optimize for value rather than page position. Google's Direct Offers pilot demonstrates this shift in action.
Rustamli argues AI shopping agents compress discovery-to-purchase into zero-click transactions, cutting search ad revenue, but lack capacity to create wants that drive influencer marketing—suggesting ad dollars migrate toward social platforms rather than disappearing entirely.
Bilgihan and colleagues argue that transactional AI agents—which execute purchases rather than just recommend—end the consumer's sole cognitive role in preference formation. Preferences emerge through bidirectional feedback loops between agent learning and consumer trust, not independently beforehand.
BCG's survey of 2,500 US consumers found that $1.3 trillion of e-commerce spend will shift to agent-assisted or autonomous shopping, with consumers and platform networks capturing most gains while merchants face structural disadvantage.
Choudary argues that consumer-only agents like Muse and Instinct change where buyers enter markets but cannot alter market mechanisms themselves. True structural change requires seller-side agents too, enabling negotiation between represented parties rather than buyer optimization within fixed supplier offerings.
Papers this line draws on 8
The research behind the notes this line reads — ranked by how closely each paper relates.
- What Is Your AI Agent Buying? Evaluation, Biases, Model Dependence, & Emerging Implications for Agentic E-Commerce
- AI Agents Want to Shop for You: The Future of Agentic Commerce
- Agentic AI in Retail: How Autonomous Shopping Is Redefining the Customer Journey
- From Product Search to Preference Articulation: The Economics of Agentic Commerce
- Vertical tacit collusion in AI-mediated markets
- When Agents Shop for You: Role Coherence in AI-Mediated Markets
- Agentic Commerce: Why Do Shoppers Delegate Purchase Decisions to AI?
- Agentic Commerce and Incentives