How do occupations differ in their exposure to automation?
McKinsey's framework sorts occupations by automation potential into four archetypes. Understanding these categories can help workers and leaders anticipate where job transitions may occur first.
MGI's report classifies US occupations into four archetypes by how much of their work could theoretically be automated: "occupations with the lowest automation potential were classified as people-centric, while those with high shares of automatable tasks were labeled agent-centric or robot-centric," with "roles with a more even balance... grouped into mixed or hybrid archetypes." People-centric occupations — found "for example, in healthcare and in building and maintenance" — "make up about one-third of US jobs and pay an average of $71,000 a year," with "physical activity that current technologies cannot replicate" accounting for "about half of the work hours" in these roles. At the other extreme, the most automatable occupations "make up about 40 percent of total jobs," pay "an average of $70,000," and are "most... agent-centric roles in legal and administrative services" built on cognitive tasks "such as drafting documents."
The archetypes come from the report's broader automation-potential analysis (Exhibit 3), which scores occupations by the share of their task hours that current agents (nonphysical automation) or robots (physical automation) could theoretically perform, set against "the level of human proficiency required." MGI frames the taxonomy as a planning tool for leaders and workers alike: the framework "applies across labor markets and can help leaders see where change may come first and how workforce transitions could unfold," distinguishing roles likely to "evolve into human–agent–robot coworker models" from those "likely to be largely automated... under human supervision" — while stressing that even highly agent-centric work like document drafting will still need people to "guide, supervise, and verify" it.
This taxonomy sorts occupations along a different axis than What collaboration level do workers actually want with AI?, which classifies tasks by workers' preferred level of human-AI collaboration rather than by technical automation potential; MGI's agent-centric and robot-centric categories describe what machines could in theory do, not what workers want. It also differs from Why do firms build automating AI instead of pro-worker AI?, which sorts the technologies themselves by their effect on worker value — MGI instead sorts the occupations that use those technologies, by exposure. Read together with Does concentrated AI exposure enable workers to adapt and reallocate?, the near-equal pay MGI finds between people-centric and agent-centric roles (about $70,000–$71,000) is consistent with that note's finding that concentrated exposure, not mean exposure, drives labor-market outcomes.
MGI's archetypes are built from theoretical automation potential, not observed adoption or realized job change, and the report does not say how long the transition from agent-centric classification to actual automation might take for any given occupation. The pay figures are averages across broad occupational groups, so the near-equal $70,000–$71,000 averages do not establish that automation exposure is wage-neutral for individual workers within those groups, nor do they capture how pay might shift as the agent-centric and hybrid archetypes are adopted unevenly over time.
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How does AI adoption reshape employment and wage outcomes? How should control and autonomy be allocated in human-AI collaboration?Related concepts in this collection 5
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What collaboration level do workers actually want with AI?
Explores whether workers prefer full automation, equal partnership, or continuous human control across different tasks. Understanding worker preferences could reshape how organizations deploy AI systems.
alternate occupation taxonomy, sorted by worker preference rather than automation potential
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Why do firms build automating AI instead of pro-worker AI?
Explores why companies invest more in AI that replaces workers than AI that creates new tasks or augments worker skills, despite evidence that only new-task-creating AI unambiguously benefits workers.
alternate classification axis, sorting technologies rather than occupations
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Does concentrated AI exposure enable workers to adapt and reallocate?
When AI displaces specific tasks rather than spreading across many, workers may shift effort to non-displaced tasks within their occupation. Does this reallocation mechanism actually offset employment losses?
explains why MGI's people-centric and agent-centric archetypes show near-equal average pay
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Will most worker skills survive AI automation?
McKinsey researchers investigate whether the skills workers use today will remain relevant as AI automates tasks. Understanding skill persistence matters for workforce planning and economic value capture.
sibling note from the same report, applying the automation-potential logic to skills rather than occupations
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Does automating some tasks actually increase the value of remaining work?
Gans and Goldfarb explore whether standard automation exposure indices miss a key mechanism: when tasks multiply together in production, automating some tasks can concentrate worker effort on bottlenecks and raise their value, potentially offsetting displacement.
Qualifies A: Gans and Goldfarb argue automation-potential indices like this taxonomy overstate displacement when tasks multiply rather than add
Related papers in this collection 8
Papers most semantically related to this note, ranked by cosine similarity in the embedding space.
- Future of Work with AI Agents: Auditing Automation and Augmentation Potential across the U.S. Workforce
- Agents, robots, and us: Skill partnerships in the age of AI
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- Will AI Agents Free Us From Meaningless Work? A Human-Centered Analysis
- When AI Enters the Workplace, Who Faces Greater Risks? A Gendered Analysis
- Some Simple Economics of AGI
- Artificial Intelligence and the Labor Market∗
- Beyond AI Exposure: Which Tasks are Cost-Effective to Automate with Computer Vision?
Original note title
McKinsey Global Institute classifies occupations into people-centric, agent-centric, robot-centric and hybrid archetypes by automation potential