Should benchmarks report token counts instead of frozen costs?
As inference prices fall over time, fixed dollar-cost benchmarks become outdated for downstream developers choosing AI systems. Should benchmarks instead report underlying token counts to let costs be recalculated with current pricing?
Agent benchmarks conflate two different jobs, the paper argues, and that conflation is specifically what breaks cost reporting. "AI evaluations are used by model developers and AI researchers to identify which changes to the training data and architecture improve accuracy (model evaluation) and also by downstream developers to decide which AI systems to use in their products for procurement decisions (downstream evaluation). The difference between model evaluation and downstream evaluation is underappreciated. This has led to much confusion about how to factor in the cost of running AI." For downstream evaluation specifically, it states, "cost is the actual construct of interest."
The mechanism the paper gives is that inference prices are not stable, so a cost figure frozen at benchmark-publication time becomes misleading for a downstream buyer: "inference costs do come down over time, and that greatly matters to downstream developers. It is unnecessary and counterproductive for the evaluation to stay frozen in time." Its prescription is to report the ingredients of cost rather than a single dollar figure — "downstream evaluations of agents should include input/output token counts in addition to dollar costs, so that anyone looking at the evaluation in the future can instantly recalculate the cost using current prices" — and it describes having "prototyped a simple example of such an interface" that lets users adjust token prices for their provider of choice. The paper illustrates the failure mode with NovelQA, a benchmark whose novels range "from 50,000 to over a million words" and which ranks submissions on a public leaderboard: fine for model evaluation, but "it would be misleading if used for downstream evaluation by a developer looking to build a bot for answering questions about novels," since the leaderboard "does not measure cost" and, because of how it poses questions, is not easy to retrofit with one.
This complements the companion note from this same source, Why do accuracy-only benchmarks hide the true cost of agents?, which argues cost belongs on the optimization axis alongside accuracy; this note narrows that argument to who the cost figure is for and why it goes stale. It also gives a concrete instance of the pattern this paper asks for in When do AI agents outperform human research experts?, which already reports agents as "roughly 15x cheaper per run" rather than a single dollar amount — closer to the unit-cost reporting this paper asks benchmarks to adopt as standard. And it supplies a reason behind the economics claimed in Can small language models handle most agent tasks?: a cost advantage stated in dollars ("10-30x cheaper SLM inference") is exactly the kind of figure this paper says goes stale without the underlying token counts.
The excerpt supports this distinction with one worked case (NovelQA) rather than a survey of how widely current agent benchmarks fail to separate model from downstream evaluation, so it does not establish how common the conflation is across the "over a dozen agent benchmarks" the paper references elsewhere. Nor does it demonstrate that its prototyped cost-adjustable interface actually corrects downstream decisions in practice. The implication the evidence supports is that any procurement decision drawn from a benchmark reporting only a dollar cost, with no token counts, should be treated as time-bound and potentially already out of date, rather than as a stable ranking.
Inquiring lines that read this note 12
This note is a source for these research framings, grouped by the broader line of inquiry each explores. Scan the bold lines of inquiry; follow any specific question forward.
What fundamentally drives AI inference pricing and cost decline patterns?- How sensitive is data center cost to hardware depreciation assumptions?
- Does annualized capex or operating expense drive inference pricing?
- What margin do cloud providers add on top of infrastructure costs?
- How do different financing terms affect total cost of ownership?
- What time horizon does the two-year performance price slowdown suggest?
- How much do typical users actually save from declining AI inference costs?
- Does real world AI cost drop as fast as benchmark performance prices?
- Why do AI performance prices fall fastest right after reaching state of the art?
- How reliable is the hardware price deflator in separating technical from market effects?
- Why does high-end benchmark performance decline in price faster than low-end?
Related concepts in this collection 5
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Why do accuracy-only benchmarks hide the true cost of agents?
Explores how focusing benchmarks solely on accuracy masks the operational and design costs of agent systems, potentially steering the field toward unnecessarily complex solutions when simpler, cheaper alternatives exist.
companion note from this source, arguing cost belongs on the optimization axis; this note narrows to why dollar-only cost figures go stale
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When do AI agents outperform human research experts?
RE-Bench tests whether AI agents can match or exceed human ML researchers on open-ended engineering tasks across different time budgets, to understand at what scale each excels.
reports a per-run cost ratio rather than a frozen dollar figure, closer to what this paper prescribes
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Can small language models handle most agent tasks?
Explores whether smaller, cheaper models are actually sufficient for the repetitive, scoped work that dominates deployed agent systems, rather than relying on large models by default.
states a dollar-based cost advantage of the kind this paper says needs token counts to stay meaningful over time
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Do persistent agents really cost less per token?
When AI agents reuse cached context across tasks, does the standard cost-per-token metric still reveal true economic efficiency? A case study suggests the answer may be no.
Qualifies: in persistent agentic environments cache reads dominate token usage, so cost-per-artifact matters more than cost-per-token
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Is benchmark progress outpacing the cost to achieve it?
While benchmark scores improve dramatically year over year, the computational cost of running frontier models is rising even faster. Does this mean progress is illusory, or driven by spending rather than genuine capability gains?
Qualifies: frontier price-performance falls 5-10x a year, yet raw running costs of frontier models themselves rise 3-18x a year
Related papers in this collection 8
Papers most semantically related to this note, ranked by cosine similarity in the embedding space.
- The Price of Progress: Price Performance and the Future of AI
- Is a compute crunch coming?
- The plunging price of thought
- How persistent is the inference cost burden?
- Holistic Agent Leaderboard: The Missing Infrastructure for AI Agent Evaluation
- Reasoning Structure of Large Language Models
- AI Agents That Matter
- Beyond Chinchilla-Optimal: Accounting for Inference in Language Model Scaling Laws
Original note title
downstream evaluations of AI agents should report token counts not just dollar costs so cost estimates can be recalculated as prices fall