Update: AI Overviews Reduce Clicks by 58%
Source: Ahrefs · 2026-02-04
Back in April 2025, we found that AI Overviews reduced clicks to top-ranking content by 34.5%, despite Google’s statements to the contrary.
Since then, AI Overviews have rolled out to more countries and more languages, and many websites have continued to see the clicks from organic search decline month-over-month.
Today, it seems likely that the impact of AI Overviews has worsened. As I wrote in our previous study:
Assuming AI Overviews stay in this current form, this is also likely the highest the CTR will be. As the novelty wears off and the law of shitty clickthroughs kicks in, I would expect to see clicks reduce further.
To find out, we re-ran our study using data from December 2025.
We found that the presence of an AI Overview now correlates with a 58% lower average clickthrough rate for the top-ranking page.
We used the same methodology as our previous study:
We selected 300,000 keywords from Ahrefs Keywords Explorer database, consisting of 150,000 keywords with an AI Overview present and 150,000 keywords with informational intent and no AI Overview present.
We used aggregated Google Search Console data to get each keyword’s average desktop clickthrough rate (CTR) per month (sum of clicks/sum of impressions).
In December 2023, the average position one CTR for informational keywords was 0.076. In December 2025, this had dropped to 0.039:
In December 2023, the average position one CTR for AI Overview keywords was 0.073. In December 2025, this has dropped to 0.016:
“AI Overview keywords” refer to keywords that triggered an AI Overview in December 2025. In December 2023, before the rollout of AI Overviews, these keywords did not trigger an AI Overview.
If we calculate the difference between the forecasted and actual CTR, the data suggest that the presence of AI Overviews now reduces the click-through rate for position 1 by ~58%((0.015677-0.03734)/0.03734):
This is another significant drop in click-through rate. For every 100 clicks you could historically earn for a top-ranking page, Google now “keeps” 58.
AI Overviews are the newest in a long line of search features that help resolve a user’s query without leaving Google, including Local Pack, Top Stories, and most famously, Featured Snippets.
As the presence of these SERP features increased, click-through rates fell. So-called zero-click searches have been growing for a long time.
As we’ve studied previously, around 9% of AI Overviews appear outside position one in the SERP:
We ran the same analysis on AI Overviews appearing in lower-ranking positions.
The negative impact of AI Overviews continues, albeit in less dramatic terms (small mercy given the already low click-through rates of positions 2-10):
As of December 2025, AI Overviews reduce the organic click-through rate for position one content by 58%. This bleak finding is corroborated by other research, including Seer Interactive (organic CTR down between 49.4% to 65.2%), Kevin Indig (>50%), Authoritas (47.5%), and even the Daily Mail (reporting 80-90% lower CTR).
Regardless of your feelings about the utility and value of AI Overviews, it seems categorically true that they siphon away the majority of the clicks once available to top-ranking pages. Search is becoming zero-click.
Lines of inquiry this paper opens 24
Research framings built by reading the notes related to this paper — the questions it feeds into.
Are AI-generated articles systematically disadvantaged in search ranking and user engagement?- Are other Google SERP features like Featured Snippets also reducing organic clicks?
- Can researchers isolate AI Overviews from other confounds affecting CTR trends?
- What happens to publisher revenue when search referral traffic collapses?
- Do smaller ad-dependent publishers face larger traffic losses from AI summaries?
- Which search queries trigger AI summaries most often on Google?
- Do users click links within AI summaries or end sessions instead?
- Do searchers prefer clarity about AI involvement when viewing search overviews?
- How much do AI Overviews currently appear in Google search results?
- Are zero-click searches rising because of AI answer summaries?
- How does lower organic traffic affect the economics of human-written web content?
- Do AI-generated articles now dominate search results as organic traffic declines?
- Can AI search summaries influence voters without active seeking?
- Why do mixed-use crawlers like Google's prevent publishers from blocking AI access?
- Can AI summaries recover lost clicks through citations or credit to sources?
- Could longer question-based searches naturally have lower click rates anyway?
- Why did Google AI stop linking to official sites after February 2026?
- How do publishers distinguish between search crawling and AI training requests?
- Are Stack Overflow and Wikipedia experiencing the same traffic pressure?
- Why do ingrained search habits persist even when AI alternatives are available?
- Can interface position alone explain why users engage more with AI content?
- Can visibility percentage across many runs measure AI brand prominence more reliably than ranking position?
- Does effort reduction during search affect how deeply people understand topics?